Here are some draft position over/unders proposition to consider in this year’s 2021 NFL Draft.
Where will some of the top college prospects go and what will be their draft selection.
TE Kyle Pitts Over/Under 5.5 draft position
Over: +122
Under: -148
In my recent post-free agency mock draft, I have Pitts going №4 to the Falcons.
New head coach Arthur Smith relied heavily on two-tight end sets as the Titans offensive coordinator over the past two years, and the addition of Pitts would allow Smith to use his preferred base set.
Pitts won the 2020 John Mackey Award as the №1 tight end in college football and was an easy unanimous All-American selection thanks to his unreal 43–770–12 receiving in just eight games. He is worthy of a top-10 pick.
I think this line should be 4.5.
Pick: Under 5.5 (bet to -175)
QB Justin Fields Over/Under 3.5 draft position
Over: -134
Under: +110
https://nflbets.com/2021/04/09/nfl-draft-props-49ers-dolphins-patriots-falcons
This is basically a bet as to whether Fields will go №3 to the 49ers, and he’s competing with Alabama quarterback Mac Jones and North Dakota State quarterback Trey Lance.
In my recent mock, I have Jones going to the 49ers at №3. I prefer Fields as a prospect, but people in the know think Jones, not Fields, will be the pick at №3.
In a three-man race, the odds are that Fields will lose.
QB Mac Jones Over/Under 8.5 draft position
Over: -110
Under: -110
Jones is shooting up draft boards, and I think the Panthers at №8 might be his floor. I’m putting as much on the under as I can bet.
WR Ja’Marr Chase Over/Under 5.5 draft position
Over: +118
Under: -144
Never let anyone tell you that niche betting markets are efficient. They aren’t — at least when they open.
Right now, Ja’Marr Chase is +160 at some books to be a top-five pick. In other words, Arbitrage opportunities out there.
If you don’t want to place bets at both books, I lean value on the over 5.5 selection.
WR Jaylen Waddle Over/Under 12.5 draft position
Over: -110
Under: -110
I love the under here. Waddle is in play to the Dolphins at №6, Giants at №11 and Eagles at №12, which is where I have him going. Honestly, I think that’s near his floor.
In 75% of indexed mocks, Waddle goes before pick №13.
Lean Pick: over 12.5
